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Ocean Freight Forecast: Shenzhen (Yantian / Shekou) to the Middle East of September

Mrs. PENG September 17, 2026

Current spot rate range of mid‑September for Shenzhen


Transit time: Direct se rvice 15‑19 days; Cape of Good Hope reroute 26‑32 days. Rerouted services carry higher rates and surcharges.


Note: Many freight forwarders quote only the base ocean freight. WRS (War Risk Surcharge) and ECS (Emergency Conflict Surcharge) are charged separately. Always confirm the ALL‑IN total rate before booking.


No large‑scale attacks in the Strait of Hormuz; carriers maintain existing rerouting arrangements and surcharge policies.


• September outlook: High‑level volatility, with month‑on‑month fluctuation of ±5%‑10%. A repeat of the sharp surge seen in August is unlikely.


• Key drivers: Partial shipment volume from Christmas‑season restocking, yet high freight rates dampen shipments from small‑to‑medium shippers. Price adjustments will mainly come via surcharges rather than steep increases in base freight rates.


• Turning‑point expectation: Significant rate declines are unlikely in September. The market broadly expects notable easing to emerge in Q4.


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